Holiday Ops 2018 / 2019 Loot Box Value Guide
13Disciple | 13-Dec-2018
A note from the author:
Last year I recall a friend spent over $500 USD and never received a Type-59.
This year I've seen a post of over 500 purchased boxes and not a single IS-3a.
These boxes are yet again an excellent gold value. If you want to put gold or premium time in your account then I would recommend purchasing loot boxes. DO NOT BUY boxes with the intent of finding a specific tank. Even with a high percent chance, there is never a guarantee.
Before you click buy make sure you answer this question: If I don't get the tank I want am I still going to be happy with this purchase?
If yes, then boxes are the most monetarily efficient way to populate your account with gold.
Don't take my word for it - listen to Circon! [Language Warning]
Last year I recall a friend spent over $500 USD and never received a Type-59.
This year I've seen a post of over 500 purchased boxes and not a single IS-3a.
These boxes are yet again an excellent gold value. If you want to put gold or premium time in your account then I would recommend purchasing loot boxes. DO NOT BUY boxes with the intent of finding a specific tank. Even with a high percent chance, there is never a guarantee.
Before you click buy make sure you answer this question: If I don't get the tank I want am I still going to be happy with this purchase?
If yes, then boxes are the most monetarily efficient way to populate your account with gold.
Don't take my word for it - listen to Circon! [Language Warning]
Gold per USD Value
A note on data: I want to thank everybody that has submitted data to me. I only kept data that I could verify as accurate through screenshots or video recordings. Because of this I've sacrificed quantity for quality.
You can find the raw data for this article here.
Data will be updated as I collect more through out the coming weeks.
You can find the raw data for this article here.
Data will be updated as I collect more through out the coming weeks.
Below is the raw gold, credits, garage slots, and premium tanks mined from the data I have.
Last updated 19-Dec-18 | Total Boxes 1040
Last updated 19-Dec-18 | Total Boxes 1040
Item |
Total From All Boxes |
Gold Value |
Total Gold Value |
Credits |
53 Mil |
400 credits = 1 gold |
132,500 |
Premium Time |
708 days |
1 day = 67 gold |
47,436 |
Garage Slots |
152 |
1 slot = 150 gold |
23,250 |
105 leFH |
16 |
1,500 |
24,000 |
KV-220-2 |
37 |
1,500 |
55,500 |
M4 Improved |
38 |
1,750 |
66,500 |
Turán III |
28 |
1,700 |
47,600 |
E25 |
16 |
6,700 |
107,200 |
IS-3a |
9 |
12,190 |
109,710 |
Defender |
7 |
10,950 |
76,650 |
Skorpion G |
4 |
10,900 |
43,600 |
Raw Gold |
350,250 |
- |
350,250 |
Tanks: (The gold value of a tank was pulled from the World of Tanks Wiki. This is confirmed from screen shots of opened boxes)
Total Gold Value: 518,138 / 479 boxes = 1081 gold per box average
If we only use the raw gold and gold value of duplicate tanks (assume all duplicates)
Total Gold Value: 420,450 / 479 boxes = 878 gold per box average
Total Gold Value: 518,138 / 479 boxes = 1081 gold per box average
If we only use the raw gold and gold value of duplicate tanks (assume all duplicates)
Total Gold Value: 420,450 / 479 boxes = 878 gold per box average
However, not all loot box packages are the same value. This table determines the gold value of each package based on 878 gold / box.
Cost* (USD) |
Boxes |
Approximate Gold Value |
Approximate Gold / Dollar |
5.99 |
3 |
2541 |
423 |
19.99 |
11 |
9,318 |
465 |
39.99 |
25 |
21,178 |
530 |
99.99 |
75 |
63,534 |
635 |
* For the sake of this calculation I rounded up each cost by 1 cent.
If we consider the frequent war chest bundle of 25,000 gold for $100 USD which yields 250 gold per $1 USD, then it becomes obvious the actual value of these bundles.
These values mirror the value from last year's loot boxes.
These values mirror the value from last year's loot boxes.
3D Skins for Tier 10 Tanks
The new 3D skins for the IS-7, BC 25t, T57 Heavy, and Grille are also available from loot boxes. Since once you pull all 4, you are unable to pull duplicates the only way to calculate their drop rates is to only take into account all boxes until the 4th skin is drawn. This means in my data set the odds of pulling 1 of the 4 skins is roughly 5.64% - keep in mind this will vary wildly as, I have low confidence in the accuracy of this drop considering the small data set.
Simon Claws
|
Worth noting during this event there is a chance to draw Simon Claws. Simon Claws comes with a 0-skill BiA and a 0-Skill Sixth Sense, along with a fully trained 3rd skill. This makes him the best tank commander, and the best crew member in the game. This crewman will train twice as quickly as a regular 0-Skill crew member and three times faster than a regular crew member.
Similar to the 3D skins, you can only draw him once making it difficult to actually pinpoint the odds. In my data sets pulling Simon Claws is roughly 2.12% - keep in mind this will also vary wildly, and I consider this statistic to also be of low confidence. (this means that Simon Claws will complete his 4th skill at the same EXP that it takes a 0-skill crew member to complete their 3rd skill, or the same EXP that it takes a regular crew member to achieve 2 skills) |
Drop Rates
I didn't do drop rates last year as I didn't feel I had a large enough data set to make accurate data. I've decided to post my drop rates, but keep in mind my data set is small and the actual drop rates my vary by a wide margin.
There is another MUCH larger data set available here. However this data set was compiled by any tanker entering in their own values, and is possibly subject to inaccuracies. Use my values (low quantity) or the values from user submitted data at your own risk.
There is another MUCH larger data set available here. However this data set was compiled by any tanker entering in their own values, and is possibly subject to inaccuracies. Use my values (low quantity) or the values from user submitted data at your own risk.
It has been hypothesized that the game will determine the tier of drop - and then fulfill it with a random vehicle you are missing. Once you own all the vehicles of that tier, then when that tier is pulled again you will get a random drop of any available tank. In this way - the drop rates of each specific tank may differ greatly. This hypothesis was accurate for my pull of 150 boxes. Since this may be accurate I've decided to post drop rates by tier. If you believe this information to be false I've still published the rates by tank as well.
It has also been hypothesized that the drop rates are lowered after the first few days of sales. I have also found this to be false in my data.
It has also been hypothesized that the drop rates are lowered after the first few days of sales. I have also found this to be false in my data.
YOUR DROP RATES MAY VARY
Drop Rates by Tier
Drop Rates by Tank
Special Thanks To:
Scorpiany, _Drakonis_, The_Pitboss, Circonflexes, Crypticshock, Xanthuss, Z3M, _Tsavo_, Berkeli
u/bistrus, u/Land-, u/RagingRaptor177, u/SquawksExistentially, u/Eldau
Scorpiany, _Drakonis_, The_Pitboss, Circonflexes, Crypticshock, Xanthuss, Z3M, _Tsavo_, Berkeli
u/bistrus, u/Land-, u/RagingRaptor177, u/SquawksExistentially, u/Eldau
